How many famous unsolved maths problems AI has cracked so far, and who says AI will be smarter than every human, and when.
2 of 68
FrontierMath Erdős: famous unsolved maths problems AI has cracked
3 Sep 2026 (GPT-6 Astra (release date; evaluated pre-release). 2 of 68 = 2.94%; Epoch rounds to 3%). Epoch AI, Announcing FrontierMath Erdős
AI has solved 2 of 68 famous maths problems that no person has solved yet; every AI tried before September 2026 solved none.
Elon Musk: Dec 2026
"We might have AI that is smarter than any human by the end of this year"
Elon Musk (xAI), World Economic Forum, Davos, 22 Jan 2026. World Economic Forum, Elon Musk at Davos 2026
Said in conversation with Larry Fink on 22 January 2026; WEF article published 24 January 2026. Filed under ASI because 'smarter than any human' means beyond the best people; Musk gives no definition. WEF paraphrases (not quotes) him as adding that AI could surpass humanity's collective intelligence within five years.
AI Futures Project: Dec 2027
"Artificial superintelligence (ASI): An AI system that is much better than the best human at every cognitive task. Dec 2027"
AI Futures Project, AI 2027 scenario (Kokotajlo, Alexander, Larsen, Lifland, Dean), 3 Apr 2025. AI 2027 (AI Futures Project)
Scenario milestone table, not a single point forecast; the authors have since pushed their medians later (see the coding marker note).