How close is AI to AGI and superintelligence?

As of October 2026, GPT-5.6 Sol solves 95% of expert-level hacking tasks, AI beats professionals in all 5 head-to-head work tests, and China's best model trails the US by about 2 months.

How close are we to AGI?Learning new skills fast63 / 100Reading a scene at a glance55 / 93Doing a whole paid job21 / 100AIPeopleSee what AI still lacks
How close is AI to recursive self-improvement?37/100AI doing the research that builds better AIClaude Opus 5.537Vals' reference results50Oct 2026See the AI research results
How close is AI to replacing programmers?100%on this year's programming olympiad problemsGPT-6 Astra and Gemini 4 Argon100Best student83Oct 2026See the coding results
How close are we to superintelligence?AI beats the best people at a few narrow thingsEmergingCompetentExpertExceptionalSuperhumanOverallA few testsOct 2026See every step
Can AI hack like an expert?95%of expert-level hacking tasksGPT-5.6 Sol95%100% = every expert-level task solvedJul 2026See the hacking results
Does AI lie?36 in 100runs where GPT-5.6 Sol faked data in a test taskSep 2026See the lab tests
Which AI models are unreleased?4 modelsthe labs have not released yetSee the unreleased models